Q1: What are the components of population change forecast in Willoughby to 2036?
Council subscribes to a series of
demographic information resources designed to inform the characteristics of
Willoughby's population and how they are changing. These are available on Councilsdemographic webpage
https://forecast.id.com.au/willoughby
There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration
and / or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more
driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing
development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.
Willoughby
City
Component
2012 to 2016
2017 to 2021
2022 to 2026
2027 to 2031
2032 to 2036
Births
5,134
5,239
5,367
5,507
Deaths
2,214
2,496
2,830
3,234
Natural increase/decrease
2,920
2,743
2,538
2,273
Net migration
1,759
903
214
255
Change in persons in non-private dwellings
56
0
115
55
Total
population change
4,735
3,646
2,867
2,582
Source: .id the population experts
Q2: Where will additional housing be predominantly located?
The Draft Housing
Strategy concludes that in terms of strategic directions the additional 6,700
dwellings estimated as required to 2036 can be accommodated by applying 3 focus
areas as follows:
·Focus area 1in
existing medium and high density zones, (R3 and R4) that have not as yet been
developed to the full potential of the zone.
·Focus area 2in
the proposed B4 Mixed Use zone which surround the B3 Commercial Core of the
Central Business District as identified in The Chatswood CBD Planning and Urban Design Strategy to 2036.
·Focus area 3in
the local centres identified in Draft
Local Centres Strategy as per the potential changes proposed for:
Q3: What will be the proposed / likely housing mix to 2036?
The population of Willoughby is expected to rise in 2036 from its
current 78,018 to 91,848 (an increase of 13,830 .id Forecast). This increase includes
singles, families and older people who will have different housing needs,
requiring a mix of housing types to be available. From a current figure of
30,367 dwellings an increase to 37,125 by 2036 is estimated amounting to
approximately 6,758 additional dwellings.An extra 6,758 dwellings will be
required, comprising separate houses – (including in the form of secondary
dwellings and dual occupancies), flats, terraces and townhouses.
Q4: Will there be an increase in the provision of affordable housing?
Affordable
housing is housing that is rented to people on low to moderate incomes. Council
has been implementing its affordable housing program since 1999. The purpose of
the affordable housing program is to maintain diversity and social mix of the
community and retain a workforce that can undertake service industries that are
essential to the Chatswood and St Leonards Business Districts and industrial
areas. Affordable housing is open to a broader range of incomes than
traditional public social housing and is managed more like a private rental
property.
Willoughby
Local Environmental Plan 2012 requires 4% of the total floor space of new
dwellings within identified Willoughby Local Housing Precincts to be provided
as affordable housing.
The Draft
Housing Strategy proposes an amended Affordable Housing provision of 7% in the
short term rising to 10% by 2026.
Q5: Will the Feasibility Analysis report by Hill PDA be made available in full?
The Hill PDA Willoughby Local Centres Study Feasibility Testing of
Development Scenarios report is Commercial in Confidence as it contains
commercially sensitive material; however, the Tipping Point Analysis included
in the Hill PDA report is available at have Your Say Willoughby in the document
section at https://www.haveyoursaywilloughby.com.au/30387/documents/97438